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Blackout by herbert.saurugg@a1.net

Betreuungseinrichtungen Abwasserentsorgung Dezentrale Gesundheitsversorgung Behörden und Organisationen mit Sicherheitsaufgaben Güterverkehr/Logistik "Displaced Persons" Industriegefahren Hygiene & Seuchenprävention Urbaner Raum Verhalten der Bevölkerung Medien Wasserversorgung Zentrale Gesundheitsversorgung Lebensmittelversorgung Lokales Krisenmanagement Öffentliche Ordnung und Sicherheit Personenverkehr Rettung von Menschen aus Not- und Zwangslagen Staatliches Krisenmanagement Telekommunikation Treibstoffversorgung

Sustainability Mini Model by Kai Neumann

Demand for cheap, unsustainable products Demand for Sustainable Products Depletion of Resources International Competition Breakdown of Financial System Clear Scenarios Sustainable Products Sustainable Industry Global and Local Stress Fosters Longing for Change Sustainability Support from Media Sustainable Consumers Sustainability as a Value Progressive Opinion Leaders Progressive Enterprises Scoring of Footprint Rising Costs of Environmental Damages Loss of Purchasing Power Lobbyists for Conventional Industries Price of Resources Political Action

Feed the world - qualitative model on the arguments by Kai Neumann

human well being food waste area for agriculture growing population growing demand for meat and dairy products food in the world need for food climate catastrophes produce per hectare use of fertilizer and pesticides biodiversity deforestation use of unused area legumes instead of grain alternative farming practices (agroforestry, permaculture, te... lack of prospects in global south change of diet price of food industrialized agriculture digitization, high precision farming change of values
I was recently preparing my contribution to the  System Dynamics Conference presenting our comprehensive quantitative GLU Model (global land use). At the same time I am repeatedly  confronted with the argument that in order to save the world we need industrialized farming with the use of pesticides, fertilizer, and high precision farming, because otherwise we would not have enough yields to feed the world and thus would need more deforestation. Well, while the quantitative model shows that without major ...

Mini-World-Model (after H. Bossel) by Kai Neumann

Deaths Recovery INITIAL_Population Birth Rate INITIAL_Damage of Environment Destruction of the Environment Death Rate Rate_Of_Recovery Population INITIAL_Industry Quality of the Environment Industry Impact Consumption Level Industry Damage of Environment Threshold Value Birth Control KonsumZiel Industry added Births Zuwachsrate
This model is basically the model from H. Bossel: Bossel, Hartmut: “Systems and Models: Complexity, Dynamics, Evolution, Sustainability”, 2007

Template Systemic SWOT Analysis by Kai Neumann

cooperations excellent leadership no time for trainings outdated technology stressed staff customer relationship management Success of an enterprise (maybe vision and mission first) Success from area 1 Success from area ...n e.g. Customers e.g. Supply of products functioning processes external incidents (environment, politics, ....) technology R&D Budget Costs motivated staff skilled staff marketing
This is just a very small model to get an idea on how to model an enterprise in order to develop a systemic SWOT analysis. In a concrete case the 4 KNOW-WHY-Questions should help you to collect a lot of concrete hard (money, technology, ....) and soft (motivation, skills, relationships, ....) factors. You can continue to reflect on concrete measures to address your strengths and weaknesses.  With quantitative attribute you can monitor the current state of the factors. The position in the Insight Matrix s...

Thema in der ZEIT: Läuft in unseren Schulen alles falsch by Kai Neumann

SchülerInnen haben Wissen es fehlt die Basis für aufbauendes Wissen es fehlt Zeit für Festigung des Wissens Lehrer beherrschen Vermittlung von Methoden es fehlt Zeit Methoden zu vermitteln SchülerInnen beherrschen Methoden SchülerInnen sind sozial hohe Kosten der Schule Verkürzung der Abiturzeit viel Stoff Gesellschaft und Wirtschaft unterstützen Schule Diskrepanz zwischen Medien und realem Leben Schüler sind diszipliniert zu lernen Schüler helfen auch den Schwächeren Schüler sind motiviert zu lernen effektives Erlebnislernen erfolgreiche Schüler erfolgreiche Schule Projektwochen Ablenkung durch Konsumangebote
in der allmorgendlichen elbvertiefung wird das Thema "Läuft alles in den Schulen falsch?" angekündigt. Hier ein Modell, dieses Thema zu diskutieren. Los gehen sollte es natürlich mit der Frage, was denn erfolgreiche Schule auszeichnet. Weiter hinten kommen dann die Probleme und hoffentlich auch Lösungen. Also einfach den kollaborativen Link öffnen und los geht es.

The automotive industry and the circular economy by Kai Neumann

people choose this brand for car sharing others decrease prices collaboration with recycling companies continue to offer new conventional cars modular design of cars lower production costs recycled / refurbished cars people love / appreciate the brand people choose car sharing people want to lower ecological footprint attractive offers of car sharing attractiveness of public transportation people choose public transportation people define themselves by other things people who need (to use) a car people who want to own a car profits from luxury cars profits from volume cars profit of selected automaker revenues of rest of automotive industry
Although I have modeled it before https://www.know-why.net/model/CJSlB5_tv2HWZZ93K7Q94Tw I got inspired by the Accenture article  https://www.accenture.com/t20160915T224958__w__/us-en/_acnmedia/PDF-27/Accenture-POV-CE-Automotive.pdf#zoom=50   to develop another model. Look at the presenter for some astonishing insight.

Automation, digitization and industry 4.0 - more or less jobs and energy use? by Kai Neumann

flaws in technology social counter movement need for energy incremental progress Target jobs environmental impact RFID, blockchain etc. for recycling dissipation of non recycable materials universal basic income inequality 3D printing resources for technology lower prices tech develops tech AI automation of jobs new tech jobs need for products, services, and administration „peak stuff“

functioning democracy - with the US in mind by Kai Neumann

Choosing authentic frontrunners Simple messages from the right guys Explaining the world Fewer compromises Simple messages from wrong guys Developing a program Selfish elite "Alternative facts" Being a loser Rich people competing in a tech world Compromises from the past Understanding the world Cognitive dissonance Trusting the system Trusting the right people Voting out of tradition Electing the right people Knowing who has the best program Health, security, wealth, justice, fairness, ... Party with the best program
I have developed this model to understand the 2020 election in the US. It offers me many insights but probably I need to explain more of it. Until I find time for that maybe a discussion starts ....

GDP growth with shrinking population by Kai Neumann

Copying core competencies Resource strategy abroad Education abroad Increased productivity abroad War, terror and climate change Lower spending power of elderies Low interests Jobs abroad Spending power abroad competitiveness Digitalization of white collar jobs Jobs Automization of blue collar jobs Lack of workforce Production Spending power Shrinking population Domestic revenues Exports GDP
This model was developed as a reaction to a science meeting where the participants univocally doubted the potential for GDP growth in Germany with the prospect of a shrinking population. While I might criticize the concept of a GDP and see a lot of reasons for a shrinking economy I doubt that a shrinking population inevitably has to lead to a shrinking GDP. But see my arguments in the model and tell us what you would change or even better make the changes directly in the model via the collaborative link.