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df 210 Abwanderung, Widerspruch und Loyalität (A.O.Hirschman) by Dirk Fabricius

Widerspruchsmöglichkeit Widerspruch Loyalität Qualitätsverbesserung „Qualitätsverschlechterung?" Qualität (Leistung, Produkt) Träge Käufer Überlegenheit Konkurrenzprodukt Sachkundige Käufer Schlaffheit Kosten-Nutzen-Verhältnis Monopol Güte der Versorgung Konkurrenz Bankrott Einnahmen Abwanderungsmöglichkeit Allgemeinwohl Abwanderung
Basis dieses Modells: Hirschman, A.O. (1974): Abwanderung und Widerspruch. Reaktionen auf Leistungsabfall bei Unternehmungen, Organisationen und Staaten. Tübingen (engl.: Exit, Voice and Loyalty) [Anm.: Warum die Loyalität beim deutschen Titel unterschlagen wird – k.A.) Der Text zu diesem Modell: Fabricius, D. (2018): Die Realität des Rechts im Kontext einer evolutionären Theorie – eine Skizze und drei Vignetten. In: Festschrift für Gerhard Wolf, Hg. T. Bode, M. Jakowczyk; M. Mrosk,  Frankfurt/Main: Lang...

Greenpeace, Rezo, die CDU und die SPD by Kai Neumann

Wohlstand Gesundheit und Sicherheit Nachhaltigkeit in der Welt Identität u.v.m. Abgase Klimawandel Soziale Gerechtigkeit Jobs Grüne oder neue nachhaltige Partei New Green Deal (Moonshot-Projekt) Ausland lässt sich auch Zeit Kleine, langfristige Ziele der Konservativen Mitte der Gesellschaft ist beruhigt Greenpeace protestiert vor CDU SPD stellt neue Personen auf SPD besinnt sich alter Wahlprogramme Rezo-Video Partialinteressen aus Wirtschaft und Gesinnung Das Wohl der Menschen
Ein kleines Modell, um mir selbst der aktuellen Entwicklung klarer zu werden. Andrea Nahles tritt wenig verwunderlich zurück, eh sie abgewählt wird oder nur ein schlechtes Ergebnis erhält. Greenpeace protestiert vor CDU. Die CDU hingegen ermahnt die SPD, doch wenigstens das Kohlegesetz durchzubringen - so schlecht ist dieses Gesetz, dass es schnell festgezurrt werden muss. Danach wird die CDU ein bisschen mehr Klimaschutz zur Beruhigung der Mitte der Gesellschaft ("wir tun doch schon was, sollen erst ein...

The dynamics of cancer (collaborative model) by Kai Neumann

Cancer Life expectancy Health costs Public awareness Life balance Costs of therapy / treatment Advanced cancer Preventive medical examination Genetic therapy Radiation therapy Chemo therapy Surgery Treatment of cancer Self healing potentials (?) Healthy nutrition Toxins Radiation Environmental impacts Genetic predisposition
Just the start of a model since I was asked for a rather general model on this difficult topic. Since I am a layperson this model should be improved by either directly editing it via collaboration link or at least discussing it.

General Trend Model by Kai Neumann

Costs environmental damages (incl. climate change) Jobs Spending power of the people Growth of population Need for resources Available resources Price of goods State of environment (incl. climate) Consumption by poorer people Well being of people Consumption by rich people Political innovation War and terror Increase of productivity Technical innovation Social innovation Meaningful activities with little consumption Pollution from industry and consumer (incl. transportation) Price of resources

IAM-Projekt: Transformation durch den Verbraucher by Kai Neumann

Hinderliche Regularien Die Masse greift es auf (WoM) Jetziges Wohlsein wird angegriffen zu anstrengend (Bsp. Tun statt Haben) Gegenargumente, Diskreditierung Impulse von außen, Beispiele von anderswo Deutliche Verschlechterung jetziger Rahmenbedingungen Leitbild (Deutschland ist Zukunft) Tolle Gefühle der Integration Vorreiter (Change Agents) zu teuer Klare Szenarios (ökon. u. ökol.) Nur schleichende Verschlechterungen Nachhaltigkeit als Wert Attraktive Angebote Die Botschaft muss einfach und richtig sein Förderung erster Lösungen Bewertungssystem tolle Gefühle der Weiterentwicklung
Kleines Modell zu den Mechanismen einer gesellschaftlichen Transformation

Farmer's protests - a systemic view by Kai Neumann

Farmers' supply is increasing Income organic farmer Discounters lower prices in the competition Income agriculture Income of conventional farmer Overall goal Subsidies for conventional agriculture Farmers increase production More organic products Food industry depresses prices Prices conv. Farmer Prices for organic are falling Remuneration of natural capital Environment and climate People buy the cheapest meat/bread/dairy products We buy organic Protests for subsides and less regulation Target Regulation (environment, animal wellbeing)
Deutsche Version: https://www.know-why.net/model/C_oWgERLg4ejw2kXAkQ7JHg It is absurd that the farmers are protesting against policies and not against the food industry and the people. they protest for lower costs only to make the industry richer instead for higher prices to strengthen their role in the market. Conventional agriculture is the major polluter of soil and water and one major reason for the loss of biodiversity, period. they need regulation. plus they contribute to climate change and the deg...

Roads or rails by Kai Neumann

More climate catastrophy Automotive lobby costs, social tensions, .... More loss of biodiversity New roads Budget for infrastructure More choice of roads People call for more roads Congestion of roads Prospect of more traffic Politics wants roads Lack of rail capacities Majority prefers cars More trade Businesses use trucks Peak stuff More people People have cars Demographic change

China, Taiwan, Russia and the West.... by Kai Neumann

Russian and Chinese influence in Africa Resources from Russia, Afghanistan and other critical countries Access to crucial resources only by China Western resource strategy Corona effects on China Global recession World unites behind sanctions on Russia China's (economic) power Western sanctions on China Alliance of western countries (Australia, New Zealand etc. in... Semiconductors etc. coming from Taiwan China's fear for economic losses Taiwan as a souvereign China attacking Taiwan Narrative of domestic strength (uniting the left and right) Cheap products from China Battle for human rights against imperialism Chip design and production know how exclusive from the west China striving for technological leadership
just the start of a model ... you may join and add arguments and sources ....

Qualitative model on the UN's sustainable development goals (SDG) by Kai Neumann

Gender equality Clean water and sanitation Affordable and clean energy Decent work and economic growth Industry innovation and infrastructure Reduced inequality Sustainable cities and communities Responsible consumption and production Climate action Life below water Sustainable life on land Peace, justice and strong institutions Partnerships for the goals Well being in the world End poverty End hunger Health for everybody Quality education
Source: https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/?menu=1300 This model is just a start. The next step would be to include the targets from the source above. Feel free to insert the model to your (free) iMODELER account to start a more detailed model !!! After that we should continue to use the 4 Know Why Questions in order to exploratively add hard and soft factors that help to explain what could serve as an effective lever to improve the situation in the world. Finally the model could be used to distinguis...

US elections 2016 - why Donald Trump is good for us by Kai Neumann

political debate is too complicated the rest of the society voting for the democrat's candidate political debate is too ridiculous Donald Trump becomes republican's candidate Obama's legacy turns out not too bad today's challenges are complex simple minded people make Trump their candidate non - voters Hillary Clinton becomes democrat's candidate middle class's fear to loose is stronger than their hope... Bernie Sanders becomes democrat's candidate democrats voting for the democrat's candidate republicans voting for the democrat's candidate democrat's candidate making no mistakes Voting for the democrat's candidate republican's candidate is too extreme democrats secretly making Trump candidate a winning of the democrats seems to be too sure
IMHO there is a dark side of the force opposed to the (light side of the) force. It is right vs. left, liberalism vs. communitarism, those who say we need to support the strong in order to enable them to give to the weaker, and those who say we need to support everybody in order to get a wealthier and happier society. While the US republicans definitely fit the cliche of the dark side of the force - I do not fall for the talk of a middle class and for their call for less government intervention for more ...