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Automation, digitization and industry 4.0 - more or less jobs and energy use? by Kai Neumann

flaws in technology social counter movement need for energy incremental progress Target jobs environmental impact RFID, blockchain etc. for recycling dissipation of non recycable materials universal basic income inequality 3D printing resources for technology lower prices tech develops tech AI automation of jobs new tech jobs need for products, services, and administration „peak stuff“

functioning democracy - with the US in mind by Kai Neumann

Choosing authentic frontrunners Simple messages from the right guys Explaining the world Fewer compromises Simple messages from wrong guys Developing a program Selfish elite "Alternative facts" Being a loser Rich people competing in a tech world Compromises from the past Understanding the world Cognitive dissonance Trusting the system Trusting the right people Voting out of tradition Electing the right people Knowing who has the best program Health, security, wealth, justice, fairness, ... Party with the best program

I have developed this model to understand the 2020 election in the US. It offers me many insights but probably I need to explain more of it. Until I find time for that maybe a discussion starts ....

GDP growth with shrinking population by Kai Neumann

Copying core competencies Resource strategy abroad Education abroad Increased productivity abroad War, terror and climate change Lower spending power of elderies Low interests Jobs abroad Spending power abroad competitiveness Digitalization of white collar jobs Jobs Automization of blue collar jobs Lack of workforce Production Spending power Shrinking population Domestic revenues Exports GDP

This model was developed as a reaction to a science meeting where the participants univocally doubted the potential for GDP growth in Germany with the prospect of a shrinking population. While I might criticize the concept of a GDP and see a lot of reasons for a shrinking economy I doubt that a shrinking population inevitably has to lead to a shrinking GDP. But see my arguments in the model and tell us what you would change or even better make the changes directly in the model via the collaborative link.

Mietpreisbremse und Enteignungen by Kai Neumann

Wirtschaft insgesamt Ausgaben für anderes Bereitschaft zu zahlen Ausgaben für Mieten Alternativlosigkeit Notwendigkeiten: Lebensmittelpunkt, Arbeitsnähe, etc. Zufriedenheit in der Bevölkerung Marktpreis steigt Niedrige Zinsen Geld fließt in Immobilien Zunahme an Wohnraumbedarf Handwerker werden teurer Zunahme an Single Haushalten Ältere wohnen allein, leben länger Sättigung der Märkte Urbanisierung Enteignung Mietpreisbremse Langfristige Amortisation / Tilgung Überteuerte Immobilien

Die freien Marktkräfte wirken erst langfristig, die Treiber der Preise ebenfalls. Kurioserweise ist die Enteignung erst langfristig für die Bevölkerung gut, für die Wirtschaft offenbar aber schon kurzfristig (siehe Presenter). Möge die Diskussion beginnen.

Finding the Sweet Spot Customer Service and Costs by melzer-ridinger@d*

Variantenvielfalt Puffer in Plandurchlaufzeit Qualität Absatzplanung Sicherheitsbestand EE Termintreue Versandlogistik tatsächlicher Liefertermin Termintreue Eigenfertigung vereinbarter Liefertermin Fertigungskosten Bestandskosten Versandkosten Kosten Liefertreue der Vorstufe Soll-Lieferbereitschaft Kapazitätsbedarf Produktionslos Bestandswert Rüstkosten Rüstzeit Liefertreue

Quantitative Model on Economics by Kai Neumann

Purchases of the rich income ratio rich to others Money of the rich Interest Rates Total credits to others Wealth of the rich running time of loans Wealth of the others Money creation Discrepancy Interests for credits Income of the rich Productivity gain (growth) Payback of credits Money of the others Income of the others Credits by the rich Initial discrepancy between the rich and the average Savings quota by the rich Purchases of the others

Quantitative model on economical developmentsThis quantitative model compares the average income and wealth of the people that earn above the average or those who lend money with those below average or those who borrow money. It includes interest rates initial inequality savings quota money creation (the possibility of banks to lend more than they hold) productivityThe model allows to understand the basic developments and to try scenarios on degrowth, by trying a negative productivity re-coupling of fina...

Hybrid cars are a smart move - for the classic automotive industry by Kai Neumann

subsidies for infrastructure proportion of renewable energy high speed, secure, autonomous cars smaller cars from start-ups classic automotive industry earns from ICEs Tesla lack of offer technology / infrastructure for charging argument of range and coal powered EVs economies of scale of EVs recycling of lithium etc. electric vehicles (EVs) Plug-in hybrid electric cars electric driving mining for resources Internal combustion engine (ICE) cars electric power from coal plants Combustion of fossiles Clean mobility Need for electricity

as the following article annoys me I modeled this model https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-16684-9

Government spending - systemic sink or source by Kai Neumann

tax increase payment of interests by government profits of the banks and the rich fueling the real economy spending on consumption profit of big companies productive people (as Bill Gates puts it) spending on health care spending on education spending on administration spending on arms government making debts government budget taxes quantitative easing (QE) banks are allowed to lend more payment of interests by people people making debts spending on infrastructure financial products apart the real economy

This little qualitative model just helps my argumentation in a discussion on a perspective from Gene Bellinger's Kumu project. Yet it is probably interesting for others as well as it features the major arguments from democrats and republicans, from libertarians and communitarians, from the liberals and social democrats .... and so forth

Democracy and peace at stake by Kai Neumann

Just a quick model to demonstrate the current developments in so many countries..... (Germany, France, USA, ....)

Postwachstumsökonomie (Soll) by Kai Neumann

großschrittig verbessert (nur) nötigsten Dinge recycelt idealisiertes Systemdesign langlebig modular Kaufkraft Arbeitsaufwand Verkürzung der Arbeitszeit Jobs Tun statt Haben Wertewandel menschliche Natur (laut KNOW-WHY-Denkweise) Bewertung, (Lenkungs-) steuern, Auflagen Mindestlohn, Grundeinkommen staatl. Geldschöpfung und Zuschüsse Lobby konventioneller Industrien Kredite Import von Ressourcen Export von Technologie Zinsen

Boris Woynowski und eine Reihe weiterer Herausgeber haben eine hervorragende Textsammlung zum Thema Postwachstumsökonomie herausgegeben, mit Autoren wie Niko Paech, Hans Christoph Binswanger, Ernst Ulrich von Weizäcker u.v.m.. Die Textsammlung ist online kostenlos erhältlich unter: http://www.ife.uni-freiburg.de/wachstumswende/woynowski-boris-et-al.-2012-wirtschaft-ohne-wachstum-notwendigkeit-und-ansatze-einer-wachstumswende.pdf/view Hier nun ganz kurz zu den wichtigsten Thesen der Autoren - aus Zeitgrün...