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Does China lead to Dystopia? by Kai Neumann

China can invade countries China dominates global economy China hides economic figures China overinvests in green and IT technology Unity amongst western countries falters China's government is following a strategy China acquires know-how through expats Political shift in the west to the right China controls raw materials China builds equal to better products Public debts in western countries China requires production located in China China gains Know-How Industrial goods from the west Information technology from the west Purchasing power of westeners Cheap products from China Western businesses export to China Western economies strive World starts buying from China China's economy starts growing China builds the world's biggest military China offer cheap workforce Massive tax evasion Dominance of technocratic billionaires Money flows into servers Tech giants mess with public opinion

forgive my attempt to allocate the factors so that the model resembles the Chinese flag. Viewing the model you can change the perspective or via Menu .... Preferences opt for straight arrows More than a decade ago, when BMW agreed to build a factory in China in order to be allowed to export cars to China, I pointed to the development that we know see in full action. Actually, I would not have needed to insert delays to the model because all is already happening, except maybe for the last step. And it is ...

Coronavirus Epidemic 2019/20 for Switzerland by Louis

Diseased patients Basic reproduction number per day Basic reproduction number Infectuous infected persons but not yet showing symptons Decrease of diseased persons Decrease of infected persons Decrease of healthy but susceptible population. Increase of recovered persons Increase of casualties Increase of diseased persons Increase of infected persons Recovered or otherwise immune people Part of diseased people under isolation. Casualties Start Input Social Distancing Population susceptible to infection Mortality Recovery time Incubation time Incubation Infection rate per day Infected persons without symptons Basic immunity Total population after epidemic Total population before epidemic Recovery

COVID-19 Epidemie in der Schweiz (Louis Gerber)System Dynamics Modell der COVID-19 Epidemie in der Schweiz. Auch wenn das Modell nach bestem Wissen erstellt wurde, übernehme ich keine Verantwortung für gesundheitspolitische Entscheide, welche daraus abgeleitet werden. Aber als Beitrag zu einer sachlichen Diskussion scheint es mir allemal geeignet. Das Modell ist ein Update des Schweinegrippe Modells von 2009. Es wurde um Massnahmen und Effekte angereichert, welche damals nicht zur Diskussion standen. Da ...

Refugees vs. Migrants - a possible solution to Germany's refugee dilemma by Kai Neumann

growing support from the main stream projects refugees for refugees and with us violence between ethnic groups upper limit for migrants to be integrated long term violence against women distinction between migrants and refugees violence by refugees building up camps thefts by refugees teaching right wing movements / tendencies cultural activities peace within our society sports international kitchens orchestrated action planned by ISIS involving our civil society inferiority feeling of refugees expecting to go back large refugee camps little or no activities for refugees more refugees coming to Germany teaching human rights workshops within the camps media fuels skepticism financial and human resources

We are in the midst of an escalation of attitudes against refugees and politics with our media reporting that we have reached limits, with the use of suggestive questions in almost every interview. The existing models on the refugee crisis on know-why.net predicted that: https://www.know-why.net/model/CY7aksh7qgaQkCiULQUJN1A The consequence will be right wing movements and while media thinks it should warn of a threat of right wing movements it actually fuels them. However, now we need to find a clever ...

Circular Economies - General Model by Kai Neumann

Economies of scale demand by customers Laws and regulation Taxation of material consumption Jobs Government budget Wealth of society Government subsidies Less sophisticated materials Modular products Recycling of products Cost of recycling Low ecological footprint of products Information New, feature rich products Competitive enterprises Sustainability as a value Opposition from low incomes / conservatives Cooperation and standards / labels Sustainable products Separatable Materials Inexpensive products Infrastructure and Logistics for recycling Satisfied Customer Increase of resource prices Relatively low resource prices

This qualitative cause and effect model is just a generalized model on the circular economy of manufactured products. For concrete projects and strategies it needs continued explorative reflexion and an adopted weighting of connections.

Ende der Energiewende by Kai Neumann

Kauf von fossilen Energieträgern fehlende grüne Politik Menschen wollen konservativ bleiben Windkraft unnötig nah an Siedlungen Skeptiker in der Bevölkerung falsch: Trassen seien nicht weit genug falsch: Kohleausstieg sei teuer Falsche Argumente Fehlender Gegendruck der dezentralen Versorger Lobby der großen Energieversorger Technologie- vorsprung Arbeitsplätze Investition in Anlagen Konsequente Energiepolitik Weitere Nutzung von Braunkohle Änderung der EE Politik niedrigere Energiepreise Nachahmung in anderen Ländern Kaufkraft in der Welt Produktivität in der Welt Auswirkungen des Klimawandels Ausbau >30.000 Jahr (brutto) 100% Erneuerbare Energien in 2050 Menschen mehr beteiligen (Bürgerenergie) Drosselung des Ausbaus auf 4500 brutto Verfahren wider dezentraler Versorger

Die aktuelle Abkehr von der Energiewende ist eine Katastrophe. Vor allem ist es wenig verständlich, woher der Wandel kommt. Die Kommunen erzeugen mehr und mehr eigenen Strom und die Bevölkerung trägt den Wandel unlängst. Sind es wirklich die direkten Kontakte der kleinen, aber mächtigen Lobby? Weiss die Politik womöglich gar nicht, was sie da tut? Geht es gar um eine Rückkehr zur Kernenergie? Ist es gar geplant, dass die Bevölkerung einen Zustand eines "Wir tun doch schon genug bzw. wir haben es versucht...

Migration debate in Germany ... and elsewhere by Kai Neumann

Helping migrants close to their origin Vouchers instead of money only Continued over-consumption Uncertain future, massive changes Quality of life for us Material values Exploitation from rich countries No international action Loss of homes Climate catastrophes Threats from regimes and terror groups Poverty False promises Providing information abroad Migrants moving on English instead of German Foreigners we do not understand Additional crime Additional workforce Acceptance within population Overcrowded places (schools, accommodations, ....) Foreigners with little to do Migrants - a symptom, not a cause Costs Migrants building communities (community work) Coalition of good countries

Migration has just started and it will become much worse. It is a symptom, a consequence of our exploitation of the world - which sounds idealistic but actually it is a fact that most economists easily agree to. We definitely can't take them all and the better they are are integrated the more will come. There is no silver-bullet to it but some measures (green factors) that we probably have to take all. What is interesting (see the Menu .... Presenter) is that long-term the help for migrants abroad has al...

Work in Progress by Conny Dethloff

Mauscheleien Mangel an Vertrauen in Teams Verlieren guter Menschen Einstellen neuer guter Menschen Belohnung Output über Outcome Druck auf Kurzfristergebnisse Ressourcenauslastung Belohnung von Beschäftigung Misstrauen Moral Features Outcome Nacharbeit Zeitdruck Lieferzeit Zeit zur Wertgenerierung Vorausplanung Zeit zum Lernen und Validieren Abhängigkeiten Koordinatoren Kontextwechsel Lokale Agenden "Köche" Fokussierung WIP Durchsatz

Power2Gas by Greenpeace Energy by Kai Neumann

Low attractivity due to lack of consequence Low efficiency of power to gas Exclusive high priced but consequent product Wood and other biomass Overall benefit Costs Costs of investments Less CO2 Less energy need Renewable energies Insulation Availability of biomass (for food and non food) Costs of energy Depletion of resources Costs of fossile gas and oil Fossile gas and oil Water and waves Wind and solar Economies of scale of power to gas Economies of scale of wind and solar High costs of power to gas Investments into/use of power to gas Economies of scale of fossile energy sources Problem of fluctuations of sunshine and wind Costs of renewables Power to gas

I was interested to change to a power to gas subscription from greenpeace energy in which they offer to invest into power to gas (wind and solar energy is electrolytically transformed into methane that can be transported with the existing fossile gas network) yet to be built. I disliked that right now there is only a minor proportion of power to gas included in their regular fossil gas supply and that there are too few investors. I argued that they should offer a high priced but consequent product which ...

Polymedikation by bjuhre

Güte der Arbeitsbedingungen Werbung zu freiverkäuflichen AM Wahrscheinlichkeit f. Therapieänderung wahrgenommene Arzneimittel-Skandale Werbung für verschreibungspflchtige AM Wahrscheinlichkeit für KKH-Einweisung Unerwünschte Wirkungsänderung Transparenz über Gesamtmedikation Verordnungserwartung des Patienten Verordnungsbereitschaft Anzahl behandelnder amb. Ärzte Anz. behandlungspfl. Diagnosen Anzahl verordneter AM Anzahl gekaufter Arzneimittel Bindung an Pharmavertreter Bereitschaft zur Arzneimitteleinnahme Innovationserwartung Einfluss der Meinungsbildner Komplexität der AM-Therapie Interaktionspotential Leidensdruck der Patienten Kooperationsbereitschaft zwischen Ärzten Polymedikation medizinische Konsumhaltung Symptome Regressangst

Dieses Modell wurde im Rahmen eines Workshops im Modeler-Forum Berlin-Brandenburg erstellt. Es soll die Zusammenhänge verdeutlichen, mit denen das Problem der Polymedikation (d.h. Patienten, die diverse verschiedene Arzneimittel (AM) einnehmen) verbunden ist. Das Modell ist sicherlich nur ein erster Ansatz zu diesem Thema und kann gerne noch weiter vertieft werden.

Tutorial model: Strategy development by Kai Neumann

Mission: To become Europe's leading expert on systemic o... Lacking capacity Improving processes urx Costs Successful marketing A lot and renowned customers Investments into ads Seeking cooperation Vision: Europe's new organizational culture Use of the iMODELER and the KNOW WHY Method Word of Mouth effect Income Being renowned Profit Visiting conferences, publishing papers and books Clear Unique Selling Point (USP) Competitors might copy concept Time Effective message Great performance Training Customers lack understanding Developing an easier, integrative approach Budget Personal cost of living