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By ChatGPT: AfD state election scenario - drivers, counterforces and consequences by Kai Neumann

Dissatisfaction with state/federal government Regional structural disadvantage Salience of crime/security incidents Social-media / alternative-media reach High satisfaction with incumbent government Credible solutions on migration and security Strong trusted non-AfD candidates AfD campaign errors / candidate scandals Strategic voting for viable competitors AfD becomes largest party in state election AfD leads or participates in state government Changes in state policy priorities
Here's my chat with chatGPT: Can you create an iMODELER model (.imm file) with a qualitative cause-and-effect model on the question of the right wing AFD party winning upcoming state elections. Explore what leads to it, what might prevent it, and what it could mean. Within the qualitative model you can weight the impact, e.g. with 10 for weak, 20 for medium, and 30 for a strong impact. Attached an example file that also uses weighting of connections. Done. I created the .imm model using your example file...

Systemic view on terror threats after Paris by Kai Neumann

we need to share our wealth moral standards (e.g. by religious leaders) high costs of security security measures terrorists sell oil, ransoms, criminal organizations climate change, e.g. in Syria air strikes selling weapons for geopolitical games some countries block measures of interference multinationals sell well to regimes Muslim forces and even female soldiers
Just the start of a small model on the basic interconnections behind the growing threat of terror. You may use the collaborative link to edit the model or provide a complete new model.

Asset Allocation Planner (Portfolio Strategy Manager) by Kai Neumann

Dividend from stocks Total dividend from stocks Current Stock Value Yield from Product 2 (e.g. stocks) Amount invested into stocks Proportion for stocks Volatility of dividend from stocks Expected dividend from stocks Volatility of stock prices Total yield from stocks Expected development of stock price
This is just a small model I have developed to prepare for a customer project. It is just on a yearly basis running for 10 years. There are two ways to model asset strategies. One is to simulate risks by Monte Carlo simulations as I did here. Very easy! Another is to use financial math to approximate the risks - which is not that easy and therefore I didn't do it here. However, not using Monte Carlo simulation would allow us to use the range function in order to identify an optimal portfolio. So, if ther...

Economy from a systems perspective p9 by Kai Neumann

Greener products and services Public spending Savings Services (sinks and sources) Products (sinks and sources) Supply of jobs Stock of material resources Health services Spending power Wish to HAVE something Wish to DO something / to BE someone
... still work in progress and soon more .... On my vacation I intended to complete my reading of Kate Raworth's "Doughnut Economics". I looked at this concept many years ago and wasn't fascinated by it but I have come across it several times in different projects since then so I decided to take a second look. I watched her TED talk and I really like her. Still, the concept I find disappointing though I haven't read the complete book, yet. I think it is a normative approach to rethink economics but in or...

Sustainability Mini Model by Kai Neumann

Demand for Sustainable Products Breakdown of Financial System Clear Scenarios Sustainable Products Sustainable Industry Global and Local Stress Fosters Longing for Change Sustainability Support from Media Sustainable Consumers Sustainability as a Value Scoring of Footprint

Balanced Scorecard and Strategy Map Example by Kai Neumann

Developing a vision, mission and strategy map Investment into staff Investment into customer service Strong competitors Talented and motivated staff ERP system CRM System Customer service SixSigma, Lean Management BSC Balanced Scorecard
This model was developed with the help from the model "Comprehensive Enterprise Model" by Kai from KNOW-WHY.NET: https://www.know-why.net/model/A8rslLgjB2toQEfuOxlUWrw Please open it with iMODELER and expand the clustered factors to see all the details (or have a look at the collection of slides in the Menu...Presenter, first)

Limits of democracy, populism, and the evil from social networks by Kai Neumann

Relentlessly showing interconnections social media as echo room supporters of populists get richer slowdown of globalization Populists offer simple solutions People opt/vote/seek for simple solutions keep it simple post-truth era: Systematical push of false information classic media show interconnections Misinformation from social / alternative media
This model is inspired by Emma's proposal for a topic for a model (to win a FAIRPHONE):  https://www.know-why.net/question/CfsXb3NvriEsmSuhnnuxsSQ It tries to understand the dynamics currently happening all over the world that push nationalism via social media. It is a qualitative model. There are other models arguing in the similar direction, e.g. this one on Putin, Erdogan etc.: https://www.know-why.net/model/CWejwGHa-455h-YLP7W9_rw ...or this one on the psychological mechanisms that lead to those defe...

Liberalismus, starker Staat und Senken 2 by Kai Neumann

Investition in Schienenverkehr etc. Notwendigkeit weitere Straßen zu erhalten Steuern Staatshaushalt steigende Produktivität (Automatisierung) Investition in neue Straßen Sicherheit Starke, konservative Lobby International starke Politik Höhere Spitzensteuern
Kleines Modell zu wesentlichen, politischen Fragestellungen

Sustainable Country Medium Model by Kai Neumann

Demand for Service Orientated Economy Media Support Sustainable Consumption (Felt Development) Sustainable Country Sustainability as a Value Sustainable Values Abroad Technological Solutions for Sustainability Sustainable Living Sustainable Production Top Scorer, Eco Footprint etc.
Medium size model without megatrends and a few other details

Zukünftiger Europäischer Strommarkt by Philipp Lindner

Smart Devices Versorgungssicherheit und Stabilität Stärke Informationsgewinnung Finanzierungsabhängigkeit vom Staat Sekundärregelung Ausfall Stromerzeuger Entwicklung besserer Speicherlösungen Sektorkopplung Strom, Wärme, Transport Strompreis
Ich habe das Modell als zusätzlichen Teil meiner Thesis erstellt. Dargestellt sind Elemente des europäischen Strommarktes (Aktuell noch sehr zielführend aufgebaut: "Gesamtnutzen"). Es sollen mögliche Auswirkungen eines zukünftigen Marktes gezeigt werden.