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China, Taiwan, Russia and the West.... by Kai Neumann

World unites behind sanctions on Russia Russian and Chinese influence in Africa Resources from Russia, Afghanistan and other critical countries Western sanctions on China
just the start of a model ... you may join and add arguments and sources ....

How to make Russia great again - and save Ukraine by Kai Neumann

Massive sanctions
It is a collaborative model - please edit it. Sanctions alone end in a balancing feedback loop but with the right narrative over working chanels it could lead to a removal of Putin! Narrative should be something like “ Ukrainians are brothers and sisters, the world wants to partner with Russia - Putin exploits Russia for his mad interests.” There is much more explanation to give to this model - I will add to it or you may edit it and place comments within the model using the "D".

The effect of low oil prices and end of Iranian sanctions (Fareed Zakaria's arguments) by Kai Neumann

The start of the model is based on an article by Fareed Zakaria. Feel free to edit the model through the collaborative modeling link " By Fareed Zakaria Thursday, February 4, 2016 One of Donald Trump’s stock campaign lines is that the Iran nuclear agreement was “terrible.” I’m beginning to wonder whether that’s true, but from the other side. Iran has ended up with a much worse deal than it expected. Remember, Tehran entered the negotiations in the heady days of high oil prices. As the Iranians are discov...

Peace to Ukraine by Kai Neumann

Pressure on Russia from sanctions behind the scenes interests to destabilize Russia agreement with Russia Proud of Russians Growing disadvantages from sanctions Further sanctions Lack of opposition in Russia Russia fears NATO extension Russia needs military base on Crimera Russia interferes Russian part lacks perspectives Russian part wants to split Russian part seeks for identity
have a look at the presenter

The Ukrainian political and economic context by Kai Neumann

People of industrialized democracies oppose the sanctions aga... Russia's narrative of western evil support for international sanctions cheap Russian gas and oil Russia claims 'just' some regions Revolution inside Russia Russia looses in the war Fall out could turn to Russia Boycott of Russia China helping Russia Russia can produce weapons
It has to do with removing Putin and defining a new Russia, but also with the possibility of a China that risks its isolation from the west and at the same time trying to reign the rest of the world through its strategic global resource and development policies. It has to do with a de-globalization, less efficient though more regional and resilient economies, loss of material wealth but gain of quality of life, social equality, and unfortunately a possible trade-off of arms races and climate change mitig...

material wealth in the EURO zone (political decisions) by Kai Neumann

sanctions against Russian gas supply
comprehensive model on major political topics yet not finished and not weighed

Iranian crisis and Israel's influence by Emma

Lifting sanctions Sanctions Failure of sanctions and control
Motivated by the growing critique from the US republicans I have started a model on the deal with Iran. Am I missing something? If you want I might share a collaborative link on the pinboard.

Open Source Horizon Scanning Trend Forecast Foresight Model (1) by Kai Neumann

Russia's economy
This model should help to collect news from all over the world and put them into cause and effect relation to each other, and to the factors that define the economy, the societies, the environment, and everyone. Those factors we call targets, colored yellow. Whenever some interesting news pops up we may add further target factors to connect them with the central target of our all well being. The model should remain as general as possible. A small manual is provided with the Menu ... Presenter. News could...

Sunnies vs. Shiites - geopolitical interests by Emma

support from Russia
This is just a start of a collaborative model trying to put together all the different arguments and interconnections surrounding the different and yet connected conflicts in the different regions of the Middle East. Please join this model!

Model on the Development of Stock Markets by Kai Neumann

End of Iran sanctions
Just started this model - will continue on this later. Anybody might join :-)