Illegal mining and water quality and availability (collaborative)

Kai Neumann

Model from perspective of factor Quality and quantity of water in rivers

PI

The first draft of the yet to be continued model shows a balancing (blue) feedback loop (Menu ... Loops) according to which it takes polluted water in order to initiate pressure from the population which would then after all lead to law enforcement. However, once the water quality improves there would be the potential to fall back into old structure again. The weightings of the connections (Menu ... Direct Impact) stems from a quick group weighting that probably could be refined as the model should be improved by the consideration of further factors via explorative modeling by using the four know-why questions for each factor: which leads directly to more/less of a factor, now or in the future?

PI

Within the Insight Matrix we compare the factor's positions on the horizontal axis to compare their impact onto in this screenshot the "Quality and quantity of water in rivers". The vertical axis indicates whether the impact will increase or decrease because of delays (different weights of connections, short-, medium- and long-term) or because of loops. In this case it is the balancing feedback loop that leads to a decrease of both, the measures (green) and the problems (red).

PI

... Therefore long term some measures even seem to be negative.

PI

Alternatively, we can look at the bar chart view of the insight matrix, which is basically the x-axis of the insight matrix.

PI

This matrix shows also quantitative attributes that we can allocate to the factors. So the position shows the potential effectiveness and the attribute in this case the current state of a factor.